Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally teased for a June or July 2026 rollout after I/O, continue to shape trader views, with the model still limited to partner testing and internal use as of early September. Frequent releases of lighter Gemini 3.x Flash variants demonstrate rapid iteration on speed and cost but underscore the higher bar for Pro-level reasoning and agentic performance. Market-implied odds favor no release by November 1 because historical slippage patterns and ongoing tweaks for coding benchmarks outweigh near-term catalysts, though a late-October window could shift if partner feedback accelerates final validation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo release by November 1 36%
October 12–October 18 16%
September 28–October 4 13.7%
September 21–September 27 6.6%
$42,746 Vol.
$42,746 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
3%
September 14–September 20
4%
September 21–September 27
7%
September 28–October 4
11%
October 5–October 11
3%
October 12–October 18
16%
October 19–October 25
6%
October 26–November 1
3%
No release by November 1
36%
No release by November 1 36%
October 12–October 18 16%
September 28–October 4 13.7%
September 21–September 27 6.6%
$42,746 Vol.
$42,746 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
$1,354 Vol.
3%
September 14–September 20
$400 Vol.
4%
September 21–September 27
$541 Vol.
7%
September 28–October 4
$506 Vol.
11%
October 5–October 11
$373 Vol.
3%
October 12–October 18
$749 Vol.
16%
October 19–October 25
$427 Vol.
6%
October 26–November 1
$451 Vol.
3%
No release by November 1
$36,653 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally teased for a June or July 2026 rollout after I/O, continue to shape trader views, with the model still limited to partner testing and internal use as of early September. Frequent releases of lighter Gemini 3.x Flash variants demonstrate rapid iteration on speed and cost but underscore the higher bar for Pro-level reasoning and agentic performance. Market-implied odds favor no release by November 1 because historical slippage patterns and ongoing tweaks for coding benchmarks outweigh near-term catalysts, though a late-October window could shift if partner feedback accelerates final validation.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$42,746Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally teased for a June or July 2026 rollout after I/O, continue to shape trader views, with the model still limited to partner testing and internal use as of early September. Frequent releases of lighter Gemini 3.x Flash variants demonstrate rapid iteration on speed and cost but underscore the higher bar for Pro-level reasoning and agentic performance. Market-implied odds favor no release by November 1 because historical slippage patterns and ongoing tweaks for coding benchmarks outweigh near-term catalysts, though a late-October window could shift if partner feedback accelerates final validation.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,746Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally teased for a June or July 2026 rollout after I/O, continue to shape trader views, with the model still limited to partner testing and internal use as of early September. Frequent releases of lighter Gemini 3.x Flash variants demonstrate rapid iteration on speed and cost but underscore the higher bar for Pro-level reasoning and agentic performance. Market-implied odds favor no release by November 1 because historical slippage patterns and ongoing tweaks for coding benchmarks outweigh near-term catalysts, though a late-October window could shift if partner feedback accelerates final validation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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