Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
1.173 - 1.18m 100.0%
<1.166m <1%
1.166 - 1.173m <1%
1.18 - 1.187m <1%
$7,077 Vol.
$7,077 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<1.166m
No
1.166 - 1.173m
No
1.173 - 1.18m
Yes
1.18 - 1.187m
No
1.187 - 1.194m
No
1.194 - 1.209m
No
>1.209m
No
1.173 - 1.18m 100.0%
<1.166m <1%
1.166 - 1.173m <1%
1.18 - 1.187m <1%
$7,077 Vol.
$7,077 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<1.166m
$1,113 Vol.
No
1.166 - 1.173m
$508 Vol.
No
1.173 - 1.18m
$2,725 Vol.
Yes
1.18 - 1.187m
$880 Vol.
No
1.187 - 1.194m
$636 Vol.
No
1.194 - 1.209m
$650 Vol.
No
>1.209m
$565 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Pasar Dibuka: May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$7,077Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Volume
$7,077Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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