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Politik·Primer

WA-05 Primary Winners

icon for WA-05 Primary Winners
Politik·Primer

WA-05 Primary Winners

$8,750 Vol.

Aug 4, 2026
Polymarket

$8,750 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Carmela Conroy

Carmela Conroy

$2,321 Vol.

77%

icon for Kevin Fagan

Kevin Fagan

$275 Vol.

1%

icon for Matthew Hayes

Matthew Hayes

$1,091 Vol.

1%

icon for Kyle Ursey

Kyle Ursey

$842 Vol.

1%

icon for Bajun Mavalwalla

Bajun Mavalwalla

$318 Vol.

1%

icon for David Womack

David Womack

$262 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Bartleson

Andrew Bartleson

$744 Vol.

1%

icon for Ann Marie Danimus

Ann Marie Danimus

$434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nate Powell

Nate Powell

$1,070 Vol.

30%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner leads early returns from Washington's August 4 top-two primary in the 5th district, positioning him to advance alongside Democratic challenger Carmela Conroy based on vote shares near 47% and 20% respectively. Independent Nate Powell trails in third, while other Democratic and independent entrants remain further back. Certification by county boards and the Secretary of State is scheduled for mid-to-late August, after which the top two will proceed to the November general. Baumgartner's established name recognition and prior general-election performance shape trader consensus on the primary outcome, with the district's partisan lean and limited polling data also factoring into assessments of advancement probabilities.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$8,750
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner leads early returns from Washington's August 4 top-two primary in the 5th district, positioning him to advance alongside Democratic challenger Carmela Conroy based on vote shares near 47% and 20% respectively. Independent Nate Powell trails in third, while other Democratic and independent entrants remain further back. Certification by county boards and the Secretary of State is scheduled for mid-to-late August, after which the top two will proceed to the November general. Baumgartner's established name recognition and prior general-election performance shape trader consensus on the primary outcome, with the district's partisan lean and limited polling data also factoring into assessments of advancement probabilities.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$8,750
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Terkait

icon for Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?

Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?

96%
icon for Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?

70%
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?

95%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"WA-05 Primary Winners" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Michael Baumgartner" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Carmela Conroy" di 77%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"WA-05 Primary Winners" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "WA-05 Primary Winners," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "WA-05 Primary Winners" adalah "Michael Baumgartner" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Carmela Conroy" di 77%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "WA-05 Primary Winners" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.