Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” from *The Life of a Showgirl* leads the VMA Best Pop market at 67% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s record-breaking streams and chart dominance since its 2025 release, and her unmatched VMA history. The video’s critical acclaim and Swift’s ongoing cultural momentum position her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Lisa’s “Dream,” Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead,” Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” and entries from Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail significantly, reflecting solid but less dominant campaigns. Fan voting closes September 25, leaving limited time for late shifts in sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVMA Best Pop 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 67%
Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi) 20%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo) 11%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
67%
Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi)
20%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)
11%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
2%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
1%
House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)
1%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 67%
Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi) 20%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo) 11%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
67%
Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi)
20%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)
11%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
2%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
1%
House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” from *The Life of a Showgirl* leads the VMA Best Pop market at 67% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s record-breaking streams and chart dominance since its 2025 release, and her unmatched VMA history. The video’s critical acclaim and Swift’s ongoing cultural momentum position her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Lisa’s “Dream,” Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead,” Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” and entries from Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail significantly, reflecting solid but less dominant campaigns. Fan voting closes September 25, leaving limited time for late shifts in sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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