US officials have floated the idea of levying passage fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing naval enforcement actions and tensions with Iran, but President Trump reversed an earlier July 2026 proposal for a 20% toll shortly after Gulf allies raised objections, pivoting instead toward investment commitments from regional partners. Iran and Oman continue bilateral talks on routing and management, while ship traffic remains suppressed under the US blockade of Iranian ports. International shipping groups have warned against any compulsory charges as contrary to established freedom-of-navigation norms. These developments, combined with active diplomacy and enforcement priorities over revenue collection, underpin traders' low implied probabilities for US fees by late August or year-end. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in blockade status could still influence near-term positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$962,375 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
December 31
7%
$962,375 Vol.
August 31
$176,364 Vol.
1%
December 31
$98,858 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials have floated the idea of levying passage fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing naval enforcement actions and tensions with Iran, but President Trump reversed an earlier July 2026 proposal for a 20% toll shortly after Gulf allies raised objections, pivoting instead toward investment commitments from regional partners. Iran and Oman continue bilateral talks on routing and management, while ship traffic remains suppressed under the US blockade of Iranian ports. International shipping groups have warned against any compulsory charges as contrary to established freedom-of-navigation norms. These developments, combined with active diplomacy and enforcement priorities over revenue collection, underpin traders' low implied probabilities for US fees by late August or year-end. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in blockade status could still influence near-term positioning.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$962,375Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials have floated the idea of levying passage fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing naval enforcement actions and tensions with Iran, but President Trump reversed an earlier July 2026 proposal for a 20% toll shortly after Gulf allies raised objections, pivoting instead toward investment commitments from regional partners. Iran and Oman continue bilateral talks on routing and management, while ship traffic remains suppressed under the US blockade of Iranian ports. International shipping groups have warned against any compulsory charges as contrary to established freedom-of-navigation norms. These developments, combined with active diplomacy and enforcement priorities over revenue collection, underpin traders' low implied probabilities for US fees by late August or year-end. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in blockade status could still influence near-term positioning.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$962,375Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US officials have floated the idea of levying passage fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing naval enforcement actions and tensions with Iran, but President Trump reversed an earlier July 2026 proposal for a 20% toll shortly after Gulf allies raised objections, pivoting instead toward investment commitments from regional partners. Iran and Oman continue bilateral talks on routing and management, while ship traffic remains suppressed under the US blockade of Iranian ports. International shipping groups have warned against any compulsory charges as contrary to established freedom-of-navigation norms. These developments, combined with active diplomacy and enforcement priorities over revenue collection, underpin traders' low implied probabilities for US fees by late August or year-end. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in blockade status could still influence near-term positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan