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icon for US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

icon for US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

$21,392,137 Vol.

Jun 16, 2026
Polymarket

$21,392,137 Vol.

Polymarket

June 15

$20,219,694 Vol.

Yes

June 22

$470,802 Vol.

Yes

June 30

$486,285 Vol.

Yes

July 31

$215,356 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,392,137
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,392,137
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Disengketakan

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"US and Iran sign an agreement by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "June 15" di 100%, diikuti oleh "June 22" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "US and Iran sign an agreement by...?" telah menghasilkan $21.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "US and Iran sign an agreement by...?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "US and Iran sign an agreement by...?" adalah "June 15" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "June 22" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "US and Iran sign an agreement by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.