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Politik·Primer

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-30 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

Everett Jackson 85.9%

Sholdon Daniels 12%

Gregor Heise 7.7%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$24,151 Vol.

Everett Jackson 85.9%

Sholdon Daniels 12%

Gregor Heise 7.7%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$24,151 Vol.

Everett Jackson

$2,608 Vol.

84%

Sholdon Daniels

$9,607 Vol.

12%

Gregor Heise

$10,561 Vol.

10%

Nils Walker

$1,375 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's dominant 84% trader consensus in the TX-30 Republican primary stems from his first-place finish in the March 3 low-turnout contest, where he outpaced heavily funded attorney Sholdon Daniels by over 10 points despite Daniels raising 23 times more, advancing both to the May 26 runoff. Jackson, a DeSoto small-business owner, demonstrated stronger grassroots appeal in the Dallas-area district, while Daniels' cash burn without vote conversion eroded his odds from higher post-primary levels. Third-place finisher Gregor Heise holds residual 9% support reflecting his primary showing, but lacks a viable path absent a surprise write-in surge. Nils Walker trails at 0.3%. Early voting and turnout will tip this closely watched GOP nomination race in the Democratic-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,151
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's dominant 84% trader consensus in the TX-30 Republican primary stems from his first-place finish in the March 3 low-turnout contest, where he outpaced heavily funded attorney Sholdon Daniels by over 10 points despite Daniels raising 23 times more, advancing both to the May 26 runoff. Jackson, a DeSoto small-business owner, demonstrated stronger grassroots appeal in the Dallas-area district, while Daniels' cash burn without vote conversion eroded his odds from higher post-primary levels. Third-place finisher Gregor Heise holds residual 9% support reflecting his primary showing, but lacks a viable path absent a surprise write-in surge. Nils Walker trails at 0.3%. Early voting and turnout will tip this closely watched GOP nomination race in the Democratic-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,151
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"TX-30 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Everett Jackson" di 84%, diikuti oleh "Sholdon Daniels" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 84¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "TX-30 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $24.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "TX-30 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "TX-30 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Everett Jackson" di 84%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sholdon Daniels" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "TX-30 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.