Tarsier Pharma's planned $45–50 million NYSE American IPO, with terms set in May 2026 for a July listing at an implied post-money valuation near $294 million, has not occurred as of early August. This stems from the clinical-stage ophthalmic biotech's pre-revenue status, ongoing Phase 3 TRS01 trial preparations under an FDA special protocol agreement, and broader 2026 biotech equity market caution that has delayed smaller offerings. Trader consensus at 98.6% probability of no IPO before September 2026 reflects the absence of updated filings, pricing announcements, or roadshow activity in recent weeks. A near-term catalyst such as final FDA feedback, trial enrollment milestones, or improved risk appetite in small-cap biotechs could reopen the window, though execution risks remain elevated given the company's limited operating history and net losses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO before September 2026 98.4%
$400M-$450M 3.0%
$250M-$300M 2.9%
$350M-$400M 1.9%
$15,112 Vol.
$15,112 Vol.
<$250M
2%
$250M-$300M
3%
$300M-$350M
<1%
$350M-$400M
2%
$400M-$450M
3%
>$450M
<1%
No IPO before September 2026
98%
No IPO before September 2026 98.4%
$400M-$450M 3.0%
$250M-$300M 2.9%
$350M-$400M 1.9%
$15,112 Vol.
$15,112 Vol.
<$250M
2%
$250M-$300M
3%
$300M-$350M
<1%
$350M-$400M
2%
$400M-$450M
3%
>$450M
<1%
No IPO before September 2026
98%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 9 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 9 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarsier Pharma's planned $45–50 million NYSE American IPO, with terms set in May 2026 for a July listing at an implied post-money valuation near $294 million, has not occurred as of early August. This stems from the clinical-stage ophthalmic biotech's pre-revenue status, ongoing Phase 3 TRS01 trial preparations under an FDA special protocol agreement, and broader 2026 biotech equity market caution that has delayed smaller offerings. Trader consensus at 98.6% probability of no IPO before September 2026 reflects the absence of updated filings, pricing announcements, or roadshow activity in recent weeks. A near-term catalyst such as final FDA feedback, trial enrollment milestones, or improved risk appetite in small-cap biotechs could reopen the window, though execution risks remain elevated given the company's limited operating history and net losses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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