Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.6% range across major firms including Novus, Ipsos, Verian and Indikator Opinion, reflecting steady gains from 2022 levels amid a tight national race. The party benefits from consistent transfers from Social Democrats and undecided voters while environmental and climate issues remain salient in the final campaign week. Late movement has been limited, with the most recent surveys showing MP holding mid-to-high single digits and no major scandals or breakthroughs altering its trajectory. This distribution underpins trader consensus around the 7–9% band, while the narrower 5–7% interval accounts for residual sampling variance and the possibility of modest last-minute shifts before the September 13 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7-9% 52%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 11.7%
<5% <1%
$26,064 Vol.
$26,064 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
<1%
5-7%
37%
7-9%
52%
9%+
12%
7-9% 52%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 11.7%
<5% <1%
$26,064 Vol.
$26,064 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
$5,353 Vol.
<1%
5-7%
$6,826 Vol.
37%
7-9%
$8,802 Vol.
52%
9%+
$5,082 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.6% range across major firms including Novus, Ipsos, Verian and Indikator Opinion, reflecting steady gains from 2022 levels amid a tight national race. The party benefits from consistent transfers from Social Democrats and undecided voters while environmental and climate issues remain salient in the final campaign week. Late movement has been limited, with the most recent surveys showing MP holding mid-to-high single digits and no major scandals or breakthroughs altering its trajectory. This distribution underpins trader consensus around the 7–9% band, while the narrower 5–7% interval accounts for residual sampling variance and the possibility of modest last-minute shifts before the September 13 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$26,064Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.6% range across major firms including Novus, Ipsos, Verian and Indikator Opinion, reflecting steady gains from 2022 levels amid a tight national race. The party benefits from consistent transfers from Social Democrats and undecided voters while environmental and climate issues remain salient in the final campaign week. Late movement has been limited, with the most recent surveys showing MP holding mid-to-high single digits and no major scandals or breakthroughs altering its trajectory. This distribution underpins trader consensus around the 7–9% band, while the narrower 5–7% interval accounts for residual sampling variance and the possibility of modest last-minute shifts before the September 13 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$26,064Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.6% range across major firms including Novus, Ipsos, Verian and Indikator Opinion, reflecting steady gains from 2022 levels amid a tight national race. The party benefits from consistent transfers from Social Democrats and undecided voters while environmental and climate issues remain salient in the final campaign week. Late movement has been limited, with the most recent surveys showing MP holding mid-to-high single digits and no major scandals or breakthroughs altering its trajectory. This distribution underpins trader consensus around the 7–9% band, while the narrower 5–7% interval accounts for residual sampling variance and the possibility of modest last-minute shifts before the September 13 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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