**Recent polling trends favor Vänsterpartiet (V) over Miljöpartiet (MP) in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election.** Aggregated surveys from the final days show V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–8%, with V ahead in most releases such as Demoskop (7.5% vs. 5.6%), Novus (6.6% vs. 6.4%), Infostat (8.2% vs. 7.3%), and Ipsos (7.6% vs. 6.8%). MP recorded a notable drop in one late Novus poll, while V support has remained steadier. Both parties compete within the centre-left opposition bloc alongside the Social Democrats and Centre Party, but V’s positioning has translated into a polling edge that underpins the 71% trader-implied probability of V receiving more votes. The overall election race between blocs remains close, with limited last-minute shifts specifically between these two smaller parties. Resolution depends on final certified results.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiV
71% peluang
$1,045 Vol.
$1,045 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
V
71% peluang
$1,045 Vol.
$1,045 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent polling trends favor Vänsterpartiet (V) over Miljöpartiet (MP) in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election.** Aggregated surveys from the final days show V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–8%, with V ahead in most releases such as Demoskop (7.5% vs. 5.6%), Novus (6.6% vs. 6.4%), Infostat (8.2% vs. 7.3%), and Ipsos (7.6% vs. 6.8%). MP recorded a notable drop in one late Novus poll, while V support has remained steadier.
Both parties compete within the centre-left opposition bloc alongside the Social Democrats and Centre Party, but V’s positioning has translated into a polling edge that underpins the 71% trader-implied probability of V receiving more votes. The overall election race between blocs remains close, with limited last-minute shifts specifically between these two smaller parties. Resolution depends on final certified results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,045Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent polling trends favor Vänsterpartiet (V) over Miljöpartiet (MP) in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election.** Aggregated surveys from the final days show V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–8%, with V ahead in most releases such as Demoskop (7.5% vs. 5.6%), Novus (6.6% vs. 6.4%), Infostat (8.2% vs. 7.3%), and Ipsos (7.6% vs. 6.8%). MP recorded a notable drop in one late Novus poll, while V support has remained steadier.
Both parties compete within the centre-left opposition bloc alongside the Social Democrats and Centre Party, but V’s positioning has translated into a polling edge that underpins the 71% trader-implied probability of V receiving more votes. The overall election race between blocs remains close, with limited last-minute shifts specifically between these two smaller parties. Resolution depends on final certified results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,045Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling trends favor Vänsterpartiet (V) over Miljöpartiet (MP) in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election.** Aggregated surveys from the final days show V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–8%, with V ahead in most releases such as Demoskop (7.5% vs. 5.6%), Novus (6.6% vs. 6.4%), Infostat (8.2% vs. 7.3%), and Ipsos (7.6% vs. 6.8%). MP recorded a notable drop in one late Novus poll, while V support has remained steadier. Both parties compete within the centre-left opposition bloc alongside the Social Democrats and Centre Party, but V’s positioning has translated into a polling edge that underpins the 71% trader-implied probability of V receiving more votes. The overall election race between blocs remains close, with limited last-minute shifts specifically between these two smaller parties. Resolution depends on final certified results.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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