Recent polling averages place Kristdemokraterna support between 6.5% and 6.9% in the days before the September 13 parliamentary election, with individual surveys ranging from 5.8% to 7.9%. The party, part of the Tidö governing arrangement alongside Moderaterna and Liberals with Sweden Democrats backing, has recorded modest gains in several late-August and early-September surveys amid a tightening race between the right-leaning bloc and the centre-left opposition. Campaign attention on security, immigration and economic issues has not produced sharp shifts for KD specifically, yet consistent readings above or near the 4% parliamentary threshold—and the 6% line in this market—have shaped trader assessments of the outcome. Early voting and final campaign developments could still influence the precise result.