Recent polling averages place the Center Party (C) in the 6.9–7.6% range, with the most recent Novus survey showing 8.3% after a 1.2-point gain. Traders assign the highest probability to the 7–9% band because multiple July and August surveys cluster there, reflecting modest but consistent gains as some Social Democrat voters shift toward C amid coalition positioning. C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has emphasized a centrist government option including the Social Democrats, Greens, and Christian Democrats, while ruling out support for any government including the Left Party. This stance, combined with policy pushes on electric vehicle targets and labor immigration, has helped C draw incremental support without crossing into double digits. The election on September 13 leaves limited time for further movement, keeping sub-5% or sustained 9%+ outcomes as lower-probability tails.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7-9% 39%
9%+ 27.8%
5-7% 11%
<5% 1.6%
$19,299 Vol.
$19,299 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
2%
5-7%
11%
7-9%
41%
9%+
28%
7-9% 39%
9%+ 27.8%
5-7% 11%
<5% 1.6%
$19,299 Vol.
$19,299 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
$5,242 Vol.
2%
5-7%
$4,522 Vol.
11%
7-9%
$6,454 Vol.
41%
9%+
$3,081 Vol.
28%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Center Party (C) in the 6.9–7.6% range, with the most recent Novus survey showing 8.3% after a 1.2-point gain. Traders assign the highest probability to the 7–9% band because multiple July and August surveys cluster there, reflecting modest but consistent gains as some Social Democrat voters shift toward C amid coalition positioning.
C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has emphasized a centrist government option including the Social Democrats, Greens, and Christian Democrats, while ruling out support for any government including the Left Party. This stance, combined with policy pushes on electric vehicle targets and labor immigration, has helped C draw incremental support without crossing into double digits. The election on September 13 leaves limited time for further movement, keeping sub-5% or sustained 9%+ outcomes as lower-probability tails.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$19,299Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Center Party (C) in the 6.9–7.6% range, with the most recent Novus survey showing 8.3% after a 1.2-point gain. Traders assign the highest probability to the 7–9% band because multiple July and August surveys cluster there, reflecting modest but consistent gains as some Social Democrat voters shift toward C amid coalition positioning.
C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has emphasized a centrist government option including the Social Democrats, Greens, and Christian Democrats, while ruling out support for any government including the Left Party. This stance, combined with policy pushes on electric vehicle targets and labor immigration, has helped C draw incremental support without crossing into double digits. The election on September 13 leaves limited time for further movement, keeping sub-5% or sustained 9%+ outcomes as lower-probability tails.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$19,299Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Center Party (C) in the 6.9–7.6% range, with the most recent Novus survey showing 8.3% after a 1.2-point gain. Traders assign the highest probability to the 7–9% band because multiple July and August surveys cluster there, reflecting modest but consistent gains as some Social Democrat voters shift toward C amid coalition positioning. C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has emphasized a centrist government option including the Social Democrats, Greens, and Christian Democrats, while ruling out support for any government including the Left Party. This stance, combined with policy pushes on electric vehicle targets and labor immigration, has helped C draw incremental support without crossing into double digits. The election on September 13 leaves limited time for further movement, keeping sub-5% or sustained 9%+ outcomes as lower-probability tails.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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