OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev score at 1,797, shifting trader focus to which lab will hold second place by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants currently sit at 1,762 and nearby, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max-0902, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Tencent models cluster within 100–150 points on the crowdsourced Elo leaderboard for agentic frontend tasks. Chinese labs continue narrowing the proprietary gap through rapid iteration and lower-cost releases, and Meta’s Muse Spark and SpaceXAI’s Grok-4.6 remain within striking distance. With only weeks until resolution, any new model drops, benchmark updates, or sustained voting surges on Arena.ai could reorder the middle of the pack before the cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 45.3%
OpenAI 30%
Alibaba 12%
SpaceXAI 9.6%
$16,501 Vol.
$16,501 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
45%
OpenAI
30%
Alibaba
12%
SpaceXAI
10%
3%
Tencent
3%
Moonshot
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Meta
2%
Poolside
2%
Z.ai
1%
Thinky
1%
Xiaomi
1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 45.3%
OpenAI 30%
Alibaba 12%
SpaceXAI 9.6%
$16,501 Vol.
$16,501 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$2,349 Vol.
45%
OpenAI
$1,100 Vol.
30%
Alibaba
$1,662 Vol.
12%
SpaceXAI
$485 Vol.
10%
$565 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$485 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$4,793 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$531 Vol.
2%
Meta
$605 Vol.
2%
Poolside
$871 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$539 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$558 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$311 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$561 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$391 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$695 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev score at 1,797, shifting trader focus to which lab will hold second place by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants currently sit at 1,762 and nearby, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max-0902, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Tencent models cluster within 100–150 points on the crowdsourced Elo leaderboard for agentic frontend tasks. Chinese labs continue narrowing the proprietary gap through rapid iteration and lower-cost releases, and Meta’s Muse Spark and SpaceXAI’s Grok-4.6 remain within striking distance. With only weeks until resolution, any new model drops, benchmark updates, or sustained voting surges on Arena.ai could reorder the middle of the pack before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,501Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev score at 1,797, shifting trader focus to which lab will hold second place by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants currently sit at 1,762 and nearby, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max-0902, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Tencent models cluster within 100–150 points on the crowdsourced Elo leaderboard for agentic frontend tasks. Chinese labs continue narrowing the proprietary gap through rapid iteration and lower-cost releases, and Meta’s Muse Spark and SpaceXAI’s Grok-4.6 remain within striking distance. With only weeks until resolution, any new model drops, benchmark updates, or sustained voting surges on Arena.ai could reorder the middle of the pack before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$16,501Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 quickly claimed the top Code Arena WebDev score at 1,797, shifting trader focus to which lab will hold second place by end of October. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants currently sit at 1,762 and nearby, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max-0902, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Tencent models cluster within 100–150 points on the crowdsourced Elo leaderboard for agentic frontend tasks. Chinese labs continue narrowing the proprietary gap through rapid iteration and lower-cost releases, and Meta’s Muse Spark and SpaceXAI’s Grok-4.6 remain within striking distance. With only weeks until resolution, any new model drops, benchmark updates, or sustained voting surges on Arena.ai could reorder the middle of the pack before the cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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