Google's ecosystem scale, search integration, and steady Gemini 3.8 Flash updates position it as the market favorite for second-best AI lab by late October, even as Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops recent benchmarks and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra emphasizes agentic and cybersecurity strengths. Tight competition among U.S. labs, with Meta's Muse Spark 1.3 gaining in coding arenas and Chinese models like DeepSeek trailing on capability, creates uncertainty around any single leader. Traders weigh demonstrated model performance against real-world adoption, developer ecosystem reach, and infrastructure advantages, with fresh releases likely to shift sentiment before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGoogle 44%
Meta 16%
Anthropic 16%
OpenAI 9.4%
$18,700 Vol.
$18,700 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
44%
Meta
16%
Anthropic
16%
OpenAI
11%
Alibaba
4%
Z.ai
2%
Thinky
2%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Baidu
1%
Tencent
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Nvidia
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Google 44%
Meta 16%
Anthropic 16%
OpenAI 9.4%
$18,700 Vol.
$18,700 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
$8,096 Vol.
44%
Meta
$970 Vol.
16%
Anthropic
$1,837 Vol.
16%
OpenAI
$526 Vol.
11%
Alibaba
$772 Vol.
4%
Z.ai
$478 Vol.
2%
Thinky
$705 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$382 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$551 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$463 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$345 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$311 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$304 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$380 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$333 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$295 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$341 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$372 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$304 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$466 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$472 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's ecosystem scale, search integration, and steady Gemini 3.8 Flash updates position it as the market favorite for second-best AI lab by late October, even as Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops recent benchmarks and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra emphasizes agentic and cybersecurity strengths. Tight competition among U.S. labs, with Meta's Muse Spark 1.3 gaining in coding arenas and Chinese models like DeepSeek trailing on capability, creates uncertainty around any single leader. Traders weigh demonstrated model performance against real-world adoption, developer ecosystem reach, and infrastructure advantages, with fresh releases likely to shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$18,700Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's ecosystem scale, search integration, and steady Gemini 3.8 Flash updates position it as the market favorite for second-best AI lab by late October, even as Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops recent benchmarks and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra emphasizes agentic and cybersecurity strengths. Tight competition among U.S. labs, with Meta's Muse Spark 1.3 gaining in coding arenas and Chinese models like DeepSeek trailing on capability, creates uncertainty around any single leader. Traders weigh demonstrated model performance against real-world adoption, developer ecosystem reach, and infrastructure advantages, with fresh releases likely to shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$18,700Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's ecosystem scale, search integration, and steady Gemini 3.8 Flash updates position it as the market favorite for second-best AI lab by late October, even as Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops recent benchmarks and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra emphasizes agentic and cybersecurity strengths. Tight competition among U.S. labs, with Meta's Muse Spark 1.3 gaining in coding arenas and Chinese models like DeepSeek trailing on capability, creates uncertainty around any single leader. Traders weigh demonstrated model performance against real-world adoption, developer ecosystem reach, and infrastructure advantages, with fresh releases likely to shift sentiment before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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