**LDPR leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections at 55.5 percent, ahead of New People at 32 percent and KPRF at 10 percent, reflecting persistent polling patterns among the main systemic opposition parties.** United Russia is widely projected to finish first with a large plurality. Recent VTsIOM and FOM surveys place LDPR, KPRF, and New People in a tight cluster typically between 5 and 14 percent, often within a few points of each other above the 5 percent threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens support in several measures, while New People has shown volatility—stronger in some telephone polls targeting younger urban voters but weaker in in-person surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles. With voting days away, minor shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among these three parties remain the primary variables that could reorder the final standings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.7%
$74,623 Vol.
$74,623 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
55%
New People (NL)
32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%
Yabloko
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.7%
$74,623 Vol.
$74,623 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$21,318 Vol.
55%
New People (NL)
$15,493 Vol.
32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,501 Vol.
10%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,723 Vol.
3%
Yabloko
$11,123 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,409 Vol.
<1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,103 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$3,951 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**LDPR leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections at 55.5 percent, ahead of New People at 32 percent and KPRF at 10 percent, reflecting persistent polling patterns among the main systemic opposition parties.** United Russia is widely projected to finish first with a large plurality. Recent VTsIOM and FOM surveys place LDPR, KPRF, and New People in a tight cluster typically between 5 and 14 percent, often within a few points of each other above the 5 percent threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens support in several measures, while New People has shown volatility—stronger in some telephone polls targeting younger urban voters but weaker in in-person surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles. With voting days away, minor shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among these three parties remain the primary variables that could reorder the final standings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$74,623Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**LDPR leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections at 55.5 percent, ahead of New People at 32 percent and KPRF at 10 percent, reflecting persistent polling patterns among the main systemic opposition parties.** United Russia is widely projected to finish first with a large plurality. Recent VTsIOM and FOM surveys place LDPR, KPRF, and New People in a tight cluster typically between 5 and 14 percent, often within a few points of each other above the 5 percent threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens support in several measures, while New People has shown volatility—stronger in some telephone polls targeting younger urban voters but weaker in in-person surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles. With voting days away, minor shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among these three parties remain the primary variables that could reorder the final standings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$74,623Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**LDPR leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections at 55.5 percent, ahead of New People at 32 percent and KPRF at 10 percent, reflecting persistent polling patterns among the main systemic opposition parties.** United Russia is widely projected to finish first with a large plurality. Recent VTsIOM and FOM surveys place LDPR, KPRF, and New People in a tight cluster typically between 5 and 14 percent, often within a few points of each other above the 5 percent threshold. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens support in several measures, while New People has shown volatility—stronger in some telephone polls targeting younger urban voters but weaker in in-person surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles. With voting days away, minor shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among these three parties remain the primary variables that could reorder the final standings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
99%
Ya
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