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Pemilihan Umum·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 91%

Lamont McClure 5.3%

Ryan Crosswell 3.8%

Carol Obando-Derstine 3.1%

Polymarket

$32,500 Vol.

Bob Brooks 91%

Lamont McClure 5.3%

Ryan Crosswell 3.8%

Carol Obando-Derstine 3.1%

Polymarket

$32,500 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$5,895 Vol.

91%

Lamont McClure

$6,733 Vol.

5%

Ryan Crosswell

$5,682 Vol.

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$6,662 Vol.

3%

Lewis Shupe

$4,430 Vol.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$3,098 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 7th District Democratic primary due to endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro, the DCCC, and the Working Families Party, along with backing from labor unions and prominent progressives. His background as a longtime firefighter and union president has resonated with voters seeking a working-class candidate to challenge Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the competitive Lehigh Valley district. Recent outside spending and polling trends after biographical information have further consolidated support behind Brooks ahead of the May 19 primary. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high turnout among supporters of Lamont McClure or Ryan Crosswell, effective negative advertising from independent groups, or unexpected late developments affecting voter preferences in this closely watched race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,500
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 7th District Democratic primary due to endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro, the DCCC, and the Working Families Party, along with backing from labor unions and prominent progressives. His background as a longtime firefighter and union president has resonated with voters seeking a working-class candidate to challenge Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the competitive Lehigh Valley district. Recent outside spending and polling trends after biographical information have further consolidated support behind Brooks ahead of the May 19 primary. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high turnout among supporters of Lamont McClure or Ryan Crosswell, effective negative advertising from independent groups, or unexpected late developments affecting voter preferences in this closely watched race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,500
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bob Brooks" di 91%, diikuti oleh "Lamont McClure" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 91¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $32.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Bob Brooks" di 91%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lamont McClure" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.