Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field with Paul Giamatti holding a narrow edge at 52% implied probability due to his prior Academy nominations and consistent industry regard for roles in prestige projects like The Statement. Most listed contenders sit near 50%, underscoring the absence of screened performances or guild momentum, while lower-priced names such as Michael Fassbender, Robert Pattinson, Miles Teller, and Sam Rockwell draw limited support from announced parts in films like The Odyssey, Digger, and Wild Horse Nine. Competitive dynamics hinge on studio campaigns, fall festival reactions, and historical voting patterns favoring established actors over newcomers until precursor awards clarify frontrunners. Guild nominations and critical consensus in the coming months will likely consolidate positions ahead of January 2027 shortlists.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 52%
Miles Teller 10.6%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
Sam Rockwell 7.0%
$15,881 Vol.
$15,881 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
52%

Miles Teller
11%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Michael Fassbender
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Guy Pearce
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 52%
Miles Teller 10.6%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
Sam Rockwell 7.0%
$15,881 Vol.
$15,881 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
52%

Miles Teller
11%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Michael Fassbender
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Guy Pearce
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field with Paul Giamatti holding a narrow edge at 52% implied probability due to his prior Academy nominations and consistent industry regard for roles in prestige projects like The Statement. Most listed contenders sit near 50%, underscoring the absence of screened performances or guild momentum, while lower-priced names such as Michael Fassbender, Robert Pattinson, Miles Teller, and Sam Rockwell draw limited support from announced parts in films like The Odyssey, Digger, and Wild Horse Nine. Competitive dynamics hinge on studio campaigns, fall festival reactions, and historical voting patterns favoring established actors over newcomers until precursor awards clarify frontrunners. Guild nominations and critical consensus in the coming months will likely consolidate positions ahead of January 2027 shortlists.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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