The Black Ball leads the Best International Feature Film market with a 67.5% implied probability, driven by early trader consensus around its festival reception and national selection strength heading into the 2027 Oscars cycle. A broad field of other titles sits near even money at 50%, underscoring the wide-open nature of submissions this far from the ceremony and the limited early signals from critics or guilds. Lower-priced options such as Possible Love at 14.9% and Fatherland at 7.6% reflect thinner momentum based on current reviews and distribution plans. Key upcoming catalysts include additional country submissions, fall festival premieres, and precursor awards that could consolidate or shift support before voting begins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball 68%
Fatherland 7.8%
Possible Love 6.6%
All of a Sudden 5.9%
$20,430 Vol.
$20,430 Vol.
The Black Ball
68%
Fatherland
8%
Possible Love
15%
All of a Sudden
6%
Fjord
4%
Minotaur
1%
The Beloved
1%
Coward
1%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
The Dreamed Adventure
<1%
Sheep in the Box
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
The Black Ball 68%
Fatherland 7.8%
Possible Love 6.6%
All of a Sudden 5.9%
$20,430 Vol.
$20,430 Vol.
The Black Ball
68%
Fatherland
8%
Possible Love
15%
All of a Sudden
6%
Fjord
4%
Minotaur
1%
The Beloved
1%
Coward
1%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
The Dreamed Adventure
<1%
Sheep in the Box
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads the Best International Feature Film market with a 67.5% implied probability, driven by early trader consensus around its festival reception and national selection strength heading into the 2027 Oscars cycle. A broad field of other titles sits near even money at 50%, underscoring the wide-open nature of submissions this far from the ceremony and the limited early signals from critics or guilds. Lower-priced options such as Possible Love at 14.9% and Fatherland at 7.6% reflect thinner momentum based on current reviews and distribution plans. Key upcoming catalysts include additional country submissions, fall festival premieres, and precursor awards that could consolidate or shift support before voting begins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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