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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Hakeem Jeffries 95%

Vance Bostic 4.4%

Chi Ossé 1.7%

Polymarket
BARU

Hakeem Jeffries 95%

Vance Bostic 4.4%

Chi Ossé 1.7%

Polymarket
BARU
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? icon

Hakeem Jeffries

$4,349 Vol.

95%

Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? icon

Vance Bostic

$605 Vol.

4%

Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? icon

Chi Ossé

$288 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries commands 95% trader consensus in the NY-08 Democratic primary due to his long-standing dominance in the safely Democratic Brooklyn district, bolstered by national name recognition, superior fundraising, and past overwhelming primary wins. Progressive challenger Vance Bostic's grassroots campaign, emphasizing issues like abolishing Citizens United and redirecting military funds to housing and healthcare, has shown limited momentum despite recent social media activity, while Chi Ossé withdrew his bid in December 2025 following opposition from figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. With no major developments in the past 30 days and the April 2 filing deadline passed, scenarios like a late scandal or Bostic endorsement surge could shift odds ahead of the June 23 closed primary, though structural incumbency advantages persist.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,242
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries commands 95% trader consensus in the NY-08 Democratic primary due to his long-standing dominance in the safely Democratic Brooklyn district, bolstered by national name recognition, superior fundraising, and past overwhelming primary wins. Progressive challenger Vance Bostic's grassroots campaign, emphasizing issues like abolishing Citizens United and redirecting military funds to housing and healthcare, has shown limited momentum despite recent social media activity, while Chi Ossé withdrew his bid in December 2025 following opposition from figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. With no major developments in the past 30 days and the April 2 filing deadline passed, scenarios like a late scandal or Bostic endorsement surge could shift odds ahead of the June 23 closed primary, though structural incumbency advantages persist.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,242
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Hakeem Jeffries" di 95%, diikuti oleh "Vance Bostic" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 95¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 11, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Hakeem Jeffries" di 95%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Vance Bostic" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.