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Politik·House Primary

NV-03 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NV-03 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·House Primary

NV-03 Republican Primary Winner

Martin O'Donnell 90%

Tera Anderson 3.5%

Aury Nagy 1.7%

Jeff Gunter 1.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Martin O'Donnell 90%

Tera Anderson 3.5%

Aury Nagy 1.7%

Jeff Gunter 1.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Martin O'Donnell

$1,177 Vol.

90%

Tera Anderson

$434 Vol.

4%

Aury Nagy

$391 Vol.

2%

Jeff Gunter

$609 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Martin O'Donnell's commanding 90% market share in the June 9 NV-03 Republican primary stems primarily from Donald Trump's endorsement and strong fundraising, which have consolidated Republican support ahead of the contest against Tera Anderson, Aury Nagy, and Jeff Gunter. The video game composer, who placed fourth in the 2024 primary despite Governor Lombardo's backing, has since secured the president's support and reported over $3 million raised, giving him a substantial edge in visibility and resources. Gunter's prior diplomatic role and Senate bid, along with Nagy's medical background and Anderson's local experience, have not generated comparable momentum in recent forums or endorsements. Traders appear to view these structural advantages as decisive in a primary lacking extensive polling, though the June timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,611
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Martin O'Donnell's commanding 90% market share in the June 9 NV-03 Republican primary stems primarily from Donald Trump's endorsement and strong fundraising, which have consolidated Republican support ahead of the contest against Tera Anderson, Aury Nagy, and Jeff Gunter. The video game composer, who placed fourth in the 2024 primary despite Governor Lombardo's backing, has since secured the president's support and reported over $3 million raised, giving him a substantial edge in visibility and resources. Gunter's prior diplomatic role and Senate bid, along with Nagy's medical background and Anderson's local experience, have not generated comparable momentum in recent forums or endorsements. Traders appear to view these structural advantages as decisive in a primary lacking extensive polling, though the June timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,611
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Martin O'Donnell" di 90%, diikuti oleh "Tera Anderson" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 90¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 25, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NV-03 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Martin O'Donnell" di 90%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tera Anderson" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.