Incumbent Susie Lee benefits from a modest Democratic lean in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, her multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, and substantial early fundraising that has outpaced challenger Marty O’Donnell. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic following the June primaries, where both nominees secured their party’s nod. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Lee’s established constituent relationships and the district’s recent voting patterns. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national shift favoring the GOP, significantly higher turnout in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as major candidate-specific events in the final weeks before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
$4,116 Vol.
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
$2,022 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee benefits from a modest Democratic lean in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, her multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, and substantial early fundraising that has outpaced challenger Marty O’Donnell. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic following the June primaries, where both nominees secured their party’s nod. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Lee’s established constituent relationships and the district’s recent voting patterns. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national shift favoring the GOP, significantly higher turnout in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as major candidate-specific events in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$6,138Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee benefits from a modest Democratic lean in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, her multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, and substantial early fundraising that has outpaced challenger Marty O’Donnell. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic following the June primaries, where both nominees secured their party’s nod. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Lee’s established constituent relationships and the district’s recent voting patterns. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national shift favoring the GOP, significantly higher turnout in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as major candidate-specific events in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,138Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Susie Lee benefits from a modest Democratic lean in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, her multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, and substantial early fundraising that has outpaced challenger Marty O’Donnell. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic following the June primaries, where both nominees secured their party’s nod. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Lee’s established constituent relationships and the district’s recent voting patterns. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national shift favoring the GOP, significantly higher turnout in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as major candidate-specific events in the final weeks before November 3.
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