Republican David Flippo holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District House seat because the open district has favored Republicans for decades, delivered double-digit margins for President Trump in recent cycles, and awarded Flippo the nomination after he secured the former president’s endorsement in the June primary. Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson has narrowed the gap through national party support, including her addition to the DCCC Red to Blue program, and a series of late-summer and early-fall polls showing the contest within or near the margin of error. Recent developments that have kept her odds above single digits include Republican super PAC advertising to counter allegations about Flippo’s local ties and military record, his decision to skip scheduled debates, and the presence of an Independent American Party candidate drawing double-digit support in some surveys. The November 3 general election remains three weeks away, leaving room for further shifts in turnout or late advertising.