Trader consensus favors current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain in charge next season, buoyed by club patience despite a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich that has intensified scrutiny after four losses in his first 12 matches. Germany national team boss Julian Nagelsmann (42.5%) and France's Didier Deschamps (42%) trail closely, reflecting recent shortlist additions—Deschamps linked just days ago as his contract expires post-2026 World Cup—amid reports of internal trust in Arbeloa's project clashing with high-profile alternatives like Unai Emery and Mauricio Pochettino. The bunched odds underscore divided sentiment over promoting the ex-Blanco defender versus proven international tacticians for the Bernabéu hot seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUnai Emery 38%
Jose Mourinho 32%
Enzo Maresca 22%
Robert De Zerbi 13.1%
$24,113 Vol.
$24,113 Vol.
Unai Emery
38%
Jose Mourinho
19%
Enzo Maresca
22%
Robert De Zerbi
13%
Jurgen Klopp
12%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Mikel Arteta
15%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Andoni Iraola
11%
Oliver Glasner
11%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique
23%
Didier Deschamps
-
Julian Nagelsmann
-
Unai Emery 38%
Jose Mourinho 32%
Enzo Maresca 22%
Robert De Zerbi 13.1%
$24,113 Vol.
$24,113 Vol.
Unai Emery
38%
Jose Mourinho
19%
Enzo Maresca
22%
Robert De Zerbi
13%
Jurgen Klopp
12%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Mikel Arteta
15%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Andoni Iraola
11%
Oliver Glasner
11%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique
23%
Didier Deschamps
-
Julian Nagelsmann
-
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain in charge next season, buoyed by club patience despite a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich that has intensified scrutiny after four losses in his first 12 matches. Germany national team boss Julian Nagelsmann (42.5%) and France's Didier Deschamps (42%) trail closely, reflecting recent shortlist additions—Deschamps linked just days ago as his contract expires post-2026 World Cup—amid reports of internal trust in Arbeloa's project clashing with high-profile alternatives like Unai Emery and Mauricio Pochettino. The bunched odds underscore divided sentiment over promoting the ex-Blanco defender versus proven international tacticians for the Bernabéu hot seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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