Skip to main content
icon for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Pemilihan Umum·New Zealand Election

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

icon for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Pemilihan Umum·New Zealand Election

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Chris Hipkins 52%

Christopher Luxon 40%

Nicola Willis 4.3%

Winston Peters 1.4%

Polymarket

$20,589 Vol.

Chris Hipkins 52%

Christopher Luxon 40%

Nicola Willis 4.3%

Winston Peters 1.4%

Polymarket

$20,589 Vol.

icon for Chris Hipkins

Chris Hipkins

$6,339 Vol.

52%

icon for Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

$5,453 Vol.

40%

icon for Nicola Willis

Nicola Willis

$3,388 Vol.

4%

icon for Winston Peters

Winston Peters

$1,864 Vol.

1%

icon for David Seymour

David Seymour

$1,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Carmel Sepuloni

Carmel Sepuloni

$1,271 Vol.

1%

icon for Chlöe Swarbrick

Chlöe Swarbrick

$1,190 Vol.

1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Chris Hipkins leads the trader consensus for New Zealand's next prime minister at 51.5% ahead of the November 7 general election, reflecting Labour's recent polling gains and his edge in preferred prime minister metrics over incumbent Christopher Luxon. Weak economic sentiment, cost-of-living pressures, and housing concerns have eroded support for Luxon's National-led coalition, which trails or sits near parity in recent surveys. Luxon secured backing in a second party leadership vote in August but faces ongoing internal tensions and declining personal ratings. Minor candidates trail due to limited parliamentary pathways under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional system, leaving the contest primarily between the two major-party leaders until election results clarify coalition arithmetic.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,589
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Chris Hipkins leads the trader consensus for New Zealand's next prime minister at 51.5% ahead of the November 7 general election, reflecting Labour's recent polling gains and his edge in preferred prime minister metrics over incumbent Christopher Luxon. Weak economic sentiment, cost-of-living pressures, and housing concerns have eroded support for Luxon's National-led coalition, which trails or sits near parity in recent surveys. Luxon secured backing in a second party leadership vote in August but faces ongoing internal tensions and declining personal ratings. Minor candidates trail due to limited parliamentary pathways under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional system, leaving the contest primarily between the two major-party leaders until election results clarify coalition arithmetic.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,589
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

54%
icon for Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

38%
icon for Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

55%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Chris Hipkins" di 52%, diikuti oleh "Christopher Luxon" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 52¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" telah menghasilkan $20.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" adalah "Chris Hipkins" di 52%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Christopher Luxon" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.