Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds an overwhelming implied probability as the next Greek prime minister due to his position as incumbent leader of New Democracy, which secured a parliamentary majority in the 2023 elections. Traders reflect the stable timeline for the next national vote, expected in spring 2027 or potentially earlier, with Mitsotakis publicly confirming this schedule. Recent polling shows New Democracy leading but facing pressure from a fragmented opposition, where Alexis Tsipras's new left alliance has emerged as the main challenger without closing the gap substantially. No major legislative votes, scandals, or coalition shifts in the past month have altered this positioning, though economic conditions and EU-related developments could influence voter sentiment before the contest. Low probabilities for other named figures align with limited polling support and historical patterns favoring established party leaders in Greek parliamentary elections.