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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 10%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

No Bond chosen 6%

Polymarket
BARU

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 10%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

No Bond chosen 6%

Polymarket
BARU

Callum Turner

$140 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

10%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

7%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$304 Vol.

6%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

5%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

4%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

4%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Theo James

$171 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold under Amazon MGM Studios, has intensified trader focus on established frontrunner Callum Turner at 35% implied probability. His rising profile from prestige projects like Masters of the Air aligns with the studio’s reported preference for a British actor in his 30s who can carry a long franchise run. Jacob Elordi and James Norton follow at single digits amid broader speculation, while the 6% chance of no selection yet reflects the early stage of the process. Recent audition reports, including emerging names like stage actor Tom Francis, underscore an open field without a clear frontrunner beyond Turner’s market lead. Upcoming casting updates and precursor signals will likely drive further shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,973
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold under Amazon MGM Studios, has intensified trader focus on established frontrunner Callum Turner at 35% implied probability. His rising profile from prestige projects like Masters of the Air aligns with the studio’s reported preference for a British actor in his 30s who can carry a long franchise run. Jacob Elordi and James Norton follow at single digits amid broader speculation, while the 6% chance of no selection yet reflects the early stage of the process. Recent audition reports, including emerging names like stage actor Tom Francis, underscore an open field without a clear frontrunner beyond Turner’s market lead. Upcoming casting updates and precursor signals will likely drive further shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,973
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Callum Turner" di 35%, diikuti oleh "Jacob Elordi" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 35¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 35% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "Callum Turner" di 35%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 35% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jacob Elordi" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.