Skip to main content
icon for New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

icon for New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

38% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
38% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB and the MLB Players Association (MLBPA) convened their first official collective bargaining talks this week in New York, presenting opening positions six months before the current CBA expires on Dec. 1. Owners pushed for a salary cap and expanded revenue sharing—contentious issues historically fueling disputes—while players resist structural changes amid rising contracts and competitive balance concerns. With no further sessions immediately scheduled and serious negotiations weeks away, traders price a 63% implied probability on "No" new deal by deadline, reflecting the wisdom of crowds from past labor battles like the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed spring training.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB and the MLB Players Association (MLBPA) convened their first official collective bargaining talks this week in New York, presenting opening positions six months before the current CBA expires on Dec. 1. Owners pushed for a salary cap and expanded revenue sharing—contentious issues historically fueling disputes—while players resist structural changes amid rising contracts and competitive balance concerns. With no further sessions immediately scheduled and serious negotiations weeks away, traders price a 63% implied probability on "No" new deal by deadline, reflecting the wisdom of crowds from past labor battles like the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed spring training.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 38% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 38¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jan 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" adalah 38% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 38% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.