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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

John Cavanaugh 53%

Denise Powell 43%

Mark Johnston 3.0%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.1%

Polymarket
BARU

John Cavanaugh 53%

Denise Powell 43%

Mark Johnston 3.0%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.1%

Polymarket
BARU

John Cavanaugh

$4,233 Vol.

53%

Denise Powell

$915 Vol.

43%

Mark Johnston

$1,512 Vol.

3%

Evangelos Argyrakis

$351 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh holds a slim trader consensus lead at 52.5% over business owner Denise Powell at 43.5% in the closely contested NE-02 Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his incumbency advantage, local name recognition from a political family legacy, and progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. Powell has surged via strong fundraising—once leading the field—and a recent April 9 poll showing her ahead 41%-34%, bolstered last week by a $1 million paid media push from EMILY's List affiliates, CHC BOLD PAC, and Elect Democratic Women. Attack ads highlight risks of a Cavanaugh win creating a state senate vacancy for GOP Gov. Jim Pillen to fill, potentially tipping legislative balance. Final endorsements, turnout among Omaha voters, and candidate forums could tip the scales in this crowded field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,010
Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh holds a slim trader consensus lead at 52.5% over business owner Denise Powell at 43.5% in the closely contested NE-02 Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his incumbency advantage, local name recognition from a political family legacy, and progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. Powell has surged via strong fundraising—once leading the field—and a recent April 9 poll showing her ahead 41%-34%, bolstered last week by a $1 million paid media push from EMILY's List affiliates, CHC BOLD PAC, and Elect Democratic Women. Attack ads highlight risks of a Cavanaugh win creating a state senate vacancy for GOP Gov. Jim Pillen to fill, potentially tipping legislative balance. Final endorsements, turnout among Omaha voters, and candidate forums could tip the scales in this crowded field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,010
Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Cavanaugh" di 53%, diikuti oleh "Denise Powell" di 43%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "John Cavanaugh" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Denise Powell" di 43%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.