Amid ongoing regional conflict and leadership uncertainties after Ali Khamenei's death, Mojtaba Khamenei has remained largely absent from public view since his appointment as supreme leader in March 2026. US intelligence reports indicate he operates from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers, while state media attributes defiant statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy to him. Speculation persists about his health, security arrangements, or possible relocation, though no verified departure has occurred. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and military tensions, inform trader views on the timing or likelihood of any exit from Iran.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,688,424 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
<1%
June 30
2%
$1,688,424 Vol.
May 31
$436,811 Vol.
<1%
June 30
$280,003 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing regional conflict and leadership uncertainties after Ali Khamenei's death, Mojtaba Khamenei has remained largely absent from public view since his appointment as supreme leader in March 2026. US intelligence reports indicate he operates from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers, while state media attributes defiant statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy to him. Speculation persists about his health, security arrangements, or possible relocation, though no verified departure has occurred. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and military tensions, inform trader views on the timing or likelihood of any exit from Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Volume
$1,688,424Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing regional conflict and leadership uncertainties after Ali Khamenei's death, Mojtaba Khamenei has remained largely absent from public view since his appointment as supreme leader in March 2026. US intelligence reports indicate he operates from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers, while state media attributes defiant statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy to him. Speculation persists about his health, security arrangements, or possible relocation, though no verified departure has occurred. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and military tensions, inform trader views on the timing or likelihood of any exit from Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,688,424Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing regional conflict and leadership uncertainties after Ali Khamenei's death, Mojtaba Khamenei has remained largely absent from public view since his appointment as supreme leader in March 2026. US intelligence reports indicate he operates from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers, while state media attributes defiant statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy to him. Speculation persists about his health, security arrangements, or possible relocation, though no verified departure has occurred. These factors, alongside stalled negotiations and military tensions, inform trader views on the timing or likelihood of any exit from Iran.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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