Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has served as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election in May 2026 for another year amid a conservative parliamentary majority. Recent developments include his prominent role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts earlier in 2026 and public statements on regional security issues. Parliament leadership elections occur annually within the four-year legislative term, with the next vote likely scheduled for 2027 unless internal factional shifts or external pressures intervene. Trader assessments of removal by a near-term deadline reflect the absence of confirmed challenges to his position, historical patterns of re-election for aligned speakers, and the procedural requirements for ousting an incumbent through a floor vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$48,802 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
2%
December 31
16%
$48,802 Vol.
September 30
$7,403 Vol.
2%
December 31
$17,812 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has served as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election in May 2026 for another year amid a conservative parliamentary majority. Recent developments include his prominent role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts earlier in 2026 and public statements on regional security issues. Parliament leadership elections occur annually within the four-year legislative term, with the next vote likely scheduled for 2027 unless internal factional shifts or external pressures intervene. Trader assessments of removal by a near-term deadline reflect the absence of confirmed challenges to his position, historical patterns of re-election for aligned speakers, and the procedural requirements for ousting an incumbent through a floor vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$48,802Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has served as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election in May 2026 for another year amid a conservative parliamentary majority. Recent developments include his prominent role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts earlier in 2026 and public statements on regional security issues. Parliament leadership elections occur annually within the four-year legislative term, with the next vote likely scheduled for 2027 unless internal factional shifts or external pressures intervene. Trader assessments of removal by a near-term deadline reflect the absence of confirmed challenges to his position, historical patterns of re-election for aligned speakers, and the procedural requirements for ousting an incumbent through a floor vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,802Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has served as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election in May 2026 for another year amid a conservative parliamentary majority. Recent developments include his prominent role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts earlier in 2026 and public statements on regional security issues. Parliament leadership elections occur annually within the four-year legislative term, with the next vote likely scheduled for 2027 unless internal factional shifts or external pressures intervene. Trader assessments of removal by a near-term deadline reflect the absence of confirmed challenges to his position, historical patterns of re-election for aligned speakers, and the procedural requirements for ousting an incumbent through a floor vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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