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Olahraga·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Olahraga·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 39%

Aaron Judge 28%

Munetaka Murakami 14%

Yordan Alvarez 13.0%

Polymarket

$22,016 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber 39%

Aaron Judge 28%

Munetaka Murakami 14%

Yordan Alvarez 13.0%

Polymarket

$22,016 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber

$4,734 Vol.

39%

Aaron Judge

$2,666 Vol.

28%

Munetaka Murakami

$5,446 Vol.

14%

Yordan Alvarez

$1,788 Vol.

13%

James Wood

$1,036 Vol.

2%

Junior Caminero

$707 Vol.

1%

Matt Olson

$1,080 Vol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$436 Vol.

1%

Brandon Lowe

$202 Vol.

1%

Cal Raleigh

$165 Vol.

1%

Shea Langeliers

$421 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$176 Vol.

1%

Elly De La Cruz

$412 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$176 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$202 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$176 Vol.

1%

Jordan Walker

$165 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$697 Vol.

<1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$165 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$205 Vol.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$212 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$165 Vol.

<1%

Sal Stewart

$212 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$169 Vol.

<1%

Pete Alonso

$205 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads the 2026 home run chase with 20-plus through late May, the first player to that mark, giving him the highest implied probability in trader consensus. His consistent power output for the Phillies has created separation from the field. Aaron Judge sits second in market pricing despite trailing in current totals, reflecting his proven ability to surge in the second half and multiple prior 50-homer seasons. Yordan Alvarez and rookie Munetaka Murakami remain tightly grouped behind the leaders with comparable early-season home run rates for the Astros and White Sox, respectively, while the long tail of the field shows limited support for sustained challenges. Recent form and pace through the first two months continue to shape positioning ahead of the summer schedule.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,016
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads the 2026 home run chase with 20-plus through late May, the first player to that mark, giving him the highest implied probability in trader consensus. His consistent power output for the Phillies has created separation from the field. Aaron Judge sits second in market pricing despite trailing in current totals, reflecting his proven ability to surge in the second half and multiple prior 50-homer seasons. Yordan Alvarez and rookie Munetaka Murakami remain tightly grouped behind the leaders with comparable early-season home run rates for the Astros and White Sox, respectively, while the long tail of the field shows limited support for sustained challenges. Recent form and pace through the first two months continue to shape positioning ahead of the summer schedule.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,016
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 25 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kyle Schwarber" di 39%, diikuti oleh "Aaron Judge" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 39¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MLB: Home Runs Leader" telah menghasilkan $22K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MLB: Home Runs Leader," jelajahi 25 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MLB: Home Runs Leader" adalah "Kyle Schwarber" di 39%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Aaron Judge" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MLB: Home Runs Leader" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.