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icon for May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

icon for May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

<1.03 100.0%

1.03-1.09 100.0%

1.10-1.16 100.0%

1.17-1.23 100.0%

Polymarket

$556,252 Vol.

<1.03 100.0%

1.03-1.09 100.0%

1.10-1.16 100.0%

1.17-1.23 100.0%

Polymarket

$556,252 Vol.

icon for <1.03

<1.03

$128,471 Vol.

No

icon for 1.03-1.09

1.03-1.09

$142,042 Vol.

No

icon for 1.10-1.16

1.10-1.16

$67,421 Vol.

Yes

icon for 1.17-1.23

1.17-1.23

$51,230 Vol.

No

icon for 1.24-1.30

1.24-1.30

$77,493 Vol.

No

icon for >1.30

>1.30

$89,596 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.03°C (inclusive) and 1.09°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.03°C (inclusive) and 1.09°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.10°C (inclusive) and 1.16°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.10°C (inclusive) and 1.16°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.23°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.23°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.24°C (inclusive) and 1.30°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.24°C (inclusive) and 1.30°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase greater than 1.30°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly greater than 1.30°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volume
$556,252
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2024
Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2024, 3:59 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.03°C (inclusive) and 1.09°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.03°C (inclusive) and 1.09°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.10°C (inclusive) and 1.16°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.10°C (inclusive) and 1.16°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.23°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.23°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of between 1.24°C (inclusive) and 1.30°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.24°C (inclusive) and 1.30°C (inclusive) for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase greater than 1.30°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly greater than 1.30°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volume
$556,252
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2024
Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2024, 3:59 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.03°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.03°C for May 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for May 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2024 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "1.10-1.16" di 100%, diikuti oleh "<1.03" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" telah menghasilkan $556.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 10, 2024. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" adalah "1.10-1.16" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "<1.03" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "May 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.