Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show a cool maritime air mass arriving overnight, producing a minimum temperature of 18°C in central Paris on August 19. Ensemble guidance and observational trends align on this value, with afternoon highs reaching 24–27°C before rapid evening cooling under increasing cloud cover and possible showers. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects strong trader consensus around these stable, late-summer conditions and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns. Only a major forecast revision or localized urban heat-island effect pushing readings outside the narrow 17–19°C band could realistically alter the outcome before official verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 19?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$18,874 Vol.
$18,874 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$18,874 Vol.
$18,874 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
$182 Vol.
No
14°C
$220 Vol.
No
15°C
$764 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,726 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,107 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,395 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$2,639 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,984 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,939 Vol.
No
22°C
$184 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$2,734 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show a cool maritime air mass arriving overnight, producing a minimum temperature of 18°C in central Paris on August 19. Ensemble guidance and observational trends align on this value, with afternoon highs reaching 24–27°C before rapid evening cooling under increasing cloud cover and possible showers. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects strong trader consensus around these stable, late-summer conditions and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns. Only a major forecast revision or localized urban heat-island effect pushing readings outside the narrow 17–19°C band could realistically alter the outcome before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$18,874Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show a cool maritime air mass arriving overnight, producing a minimum temperature of 18°C in central Paris on August 19. Ensemble guidance and observational trends align on this value, with afternoon highs reaching 24–27°C before rapid evening cooling under increasing cloud cover and possible showers. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects strong trader consensus around these stable, late-summer conditions and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns. Only a major forecast revision or localized urban heat-island effect pushing readings outside the narrow 17–19°C band could realistically alter the outcome before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,874Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show a cool maritime air mass arriving overnight, producing a minimum temperature of 18°C in central Paris on August 19. Ensemble guidance and observational trends align on this value, with afternoon highs reaching 24–27°C before rapid evening cooling under increasing cloud cover and possible showers. The 98.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects strong trader consensus around these stable, late-summer conditions and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns. Only a major forecast revision or localized urban heat-island effect pushing readings outside the narrow 17–19°C band could realistically alter the outcome before official verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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