Amid the ongoing 2026 Iran conflict and associated protests, Iranian Kurdish opposition parties have formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan to pursue regime change and greater self-determination in Kurdish-majority provinces, yet their stated objectives center on federal arrangements or autonomy rather than an immediate formal secession. Iranian security forces have conducted airstrikes and operations in these border regions, while external discussions of support for Kurdish forces have not translated into territorial control sufficient for a recognized independence declaration. Traders reflect this reality through overwhelming consensus against such an outcome before the June 30, 2026 resolution date. A sudden collapse of central authority or coordinated military gains by opposition groups could still create conditions for a late declaration, though most parties have historically prioritized internal restructuring over outright separation.