Moonshot AI has not yet released its highly anticipated Kimi K3 large language model as of April 19, 2026, despite a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly allocated for K3 development and massive compute expansion. Trader consensus hinges on the firm's rapid iteration pace—Kimi K2.5 debuted in late January as a 1-trillion-parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with state-of-the-art benchmarks in coding (SWE-Bench) and multimodal reasoning, powering integrations like Cursor AI's Composer 2, while Kimi K2.6 coding preview launched April 18 without full benchmarks. Amid fierce Chinese AI competition from GLM-5.1 and rumored DeepSeek V4, watch Moonshot's channels for K3 teasers, potentially tying agent swarms and extended context to frontier capabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$26,452 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
April 30
7%
June 30
51%
$26,452 Vol.
April 30
$24,938 Vol.
7%
June 30
$1,514 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI has not yet released its highly anticipated Kimi K3 large language model as of April 19, 2026, despite a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly allocated for K3 development and massive compute expansion. Trader consensus hinges on the firm's rapid iteration pace—Kimi K2.5 debuted in late January as a 1-trillion-parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with state-of-the-art benchmarks in coding (SWE-Bench) and multimodal reasoning, powering integrations like Cursor AI's Composer 2, while Kimi K2.6 coding preview launched April 18 without full benchmarks. Amid fierce Chinese AI competition from GLM-5.1 and rumored DeepSeek V4, watch Moonshot's channels for K3 teasers, potentially tying agent swarms and extended context to frontier capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Volume
$26,452Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI has not yet released its highly anticipated Kimi K3 large language model as of April 19, 2026, despite a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly allocated for K3 development and massive compute expansion. Trader consensus hinges on the firm's rapid iteration pace—Kimi K2.5 debuted in late January as a 1-trillion-parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with state-of-the-art benchmarks in coding (SWE-Bench) and multimodal reasoning, powering integrations like Cursor AI's Composer 2, while Kimi K2.6 coding preview launched April 18 without full benchmarks. Amid fierce Chinese AI competition from GLM-5.1 and rumored DeepSeek V4, watch Moonshot's channels for K3 teasers, potentially tying agent swarms and extended context to frontier capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$26,452Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI has not yet released its highly anticipated Kimi K3 large language model as of April 19, 2026, despite a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly allocated for K3 development and massive compute expansion. Trader consensus hinges on the firm's rapid iteration pace—Kimi K2.5 debuted in late January as a 1-trillion-parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with state-of-the-art benchmarks in coding (SWE-Bench) and multimodal reasoning, powering integrations like Cursor AI's Composer 2, while Kimi K2.6 coding preview launched April 18 without full benchmarks. Amid fierce Chinese AI competition from GLM-5.1 and rumored DeepSeek V4, watch Moonshot's channels for K3 teasers, potentially tying agent swarms and extended context to frontier capabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan