The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Vol.
$21,305 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Vol.
$21,305 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<5
$7,779 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$3,026 Vol.
No
10-14
$2,018 Vol.
No
15-19
$1,977 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,300 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,416 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,396 Vol.
No
35-39
$396 Vol.
No
40-44
$370 Vol.
No
45-49
$330 Vol.
No
50-54
$430 Vol.
No
55-59
$437 Vol.
No
60+
$430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$21,305Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21,305Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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