Both Georgia Democratic senators maintain firm holds on their seats through the end of 2026, with Ossoff actively campaigning for a second term after securing his party's nomination unopposed and Warnock's term extending into 2029. Ossoff's reelection contest in November 2026 occurs in a state carried by the opposing party in the prior presidential cycle, yet recent polling and fundraising data reflect a stable advantage that aligns with trader expectations of continuity. No credible reports indicate plans for resignation, retirement, or other departures by either senator before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Late developments such as a health event, major scandal, or unexpected vacancy could still shift the outcome, though these remain low-probability factors relative to current institutional and electoral stability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui4% peluang
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Both Georgia Democratic senators maintain firm holds on their seats through the end of 2026, with Ossoff actively campaigning for a second term after securing his party's nomination unopposed and Warnock's term extending into 2029. Ossoff's reelection contest in November 2026 occurs in a state carried by the opposing party in the prior presidential cycle, yet recent polling and fundraising data reflect a stable advantage that aligns with trader expectations of continuity. No credible reports indicate plans for resignation, retirement, or other departures by either senator before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Late developments such as a health event, major scandal, or unexpected vacancy could still shift the outcome, though these remain low-probability factors relative to current institutional and electoral stability.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,074Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Both Georgia Democratic senators maintain firm holds on their seats through the end of 2026, with Ossoff actively campaigning for a second term after securing his party's nomination unopposed and Warnock's term extending into 2029. Ossoff's reelection contest in November 2026 occurs in a state carried by the opposing party in the prior presidential cycle, yet recent polling and fundraising data reflect a stable advantage that aligns with trader expectations of continuity. No credible reports indicate plans for resignation, retirement, or other departures by either senator before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Late developments such as a health event, major scandal, or unexpected vacancy could still shift the outcome, though these remain low-probability factors relative to current institutional and electoral stability.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Volume
$1,074Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Both Georgia Democratic senators maintain firm holds on their seats through the end of 2026, with Ossoff actively campaigning for a second term after securing his party's nomination unopposed and Warnock's term extending into 2029. Ossoff's reelection contest in November 2026 occurs in a state carried by the opposing party in the prior presidential cycle, yet recent polling and fundraising data reflect a stable advantage that aligns with trader expectations of continuity. No credible reports indicate plans for resignation, retirement, or other departures by either senator before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Late developments such as a health event, major scandal, or unexpected vacancy could still shift the outcome, though these remain low-probability factors relative to current institutional and electoral stability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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