Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which excludes fresh food and energy, have held near 1.8-1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, supported by yen depreciation, elevated producer prices, and pass-through of higher input costs amid Middle East tensions. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation rising gradually toward the 2% target through fiscal 2026, aided by wage growth and AI-related demand, while fuel subsidies have capped headline pressures. Trader consensus in the 2.0-2.4% range reflects these dynamics alongside expectations for further policy rate hikes at the September FOMC-equivalent meeting, though downside risks from subdued demand or subsidy extensions could keep outcomes below 2%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2.0-2.4% 59%
≤1.9% 25%
2.5-2.9% 10.0%
3.0-3.4% 2.5%
$54,263 Vol.
$54,263 Vol.
≤1.9%
25%
2.0-2.4%
59%
2.5-2.9%
10%
3.0-3.4%
3%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 59%
≤1.9% 25%
2.5-2.9% 10.0%
3.0-3.4% 2.5%
$54,263 Vol.
$54,263 Vol.
≤1.9%
25%
2.0-2.4%
59%
2.5-2.9%
10%
3.0-3.4%
3%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which excludes fresh food and energy, have held near 1.8-1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, supported by yen depreciation, elevated producer prices, and pass-through of higher input costs amid Middle East tensions. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects underlying inflation rising gradually toward the 2% target through fiscal 2026, aided by wage growth and AI-related demand, while fuel subsidies have capped headline pressures. Trader consensus in the 2.0-2.4% range reflects these dynamics alongside expectations for further policy rate hikes at the September FOMC-equivalent meeting, though downside risks from subdued demand or subsidy extensions could keep outcomes below 2%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan