US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26, 2026, after five rounds that began in April. The accord establishes a sequenced process for the Lebanese Armed Forces to assume security responsibility in designated pilot zones, tied to verified steps toward disarming Hezbollah and restoring Lebanese sovereignty, while allowing Israel to maintain a security buffer pending those conditions. Hezbollah immediately rejected the deal as null and void. Implementation has since relied on a US-facilitated Military Coordination Group, with limited reported progress on withdrawals or broader normalization by early September. Trader assessments of any additional diplomatic meetings hinge on verifiable advances in these areas, potential follow-on sessions, or renewed US pressure amid ongoing border tensions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$354,283 Vol.
September 9
3%
September 11
4%
September 13
6%
September 15
38%
September 30
78%
$354,283 Vol.
September 9
3%
September 11
4%
September 13
6%
September 15
38%
September 30
78%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26, 2026, after five rounds that began in April. The accord establishes a sequenced process for the Lebanese Armed Forces to assume security responsibility in designated pilot zones, tied to verified steps toward disarming Hezbollah and restoring Lebanese sovereignty, while allowing Israel to maintain a security buffer pending those conditions. Hezbollah immediately rejected the deal as null and void. Implementation has since relied on a US-facilitated Military Coordination Group, with limited reported progress on withdrawals or broader normalization by early September. Trader assessments of any additional diplomatic meetings hinge on verifiable advances in these areas, potential follow-on sessions, or renewed US pressure amid ongoing border tensions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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