Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–9 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, driven by fluctuations within the right-religious bloc and competition for votes among Likud, Religious Zionism–Zehut, and other parties. Surveys from early October show the party, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, typically earning 6–9 mandates, with occasional spikes to nine amid shifts in turnout or bloc consolidation. The Central Elections Committee’s rejection of disqualification petitions preserved its ballot access, while separate list filings and ongoing campaign dynamics have sustained uncertainty over final seat totals. Traders price the 8–9 outcome highest because it matches the most consistent recent data points, though late shifts in right-wing support or turnout among core voters could still alter the distribution.