Recent moderation in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the S&P Global flash services PMI easing to 50.9 in May from 51.0 in April, has created a balanced distribution of trader probabilities across the 49–53 range for the ISM Services PMI reading. April’s official ISM print of 53.6 reflected a modest pullback from March’s 54.0, driven by a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders to 53.5 and persistent contraction in employment, even as business activity held at 55.9 amid elevated input prices at 70.7—the highest since late 2022—linked to Middle East conflict and tariffs. These mixed signals, including softening demand and cost pressures that could weigh on margins, underpin the tight contest between sub-50 and mid-50 outcomes, with the May 3 release serving as the immediate catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui55.0+ 94%
50.0–50.9 47%
52.0–52.9 47%
48.0–48.9 38%
BARU
BARU
Jun 1, 2026
<47.0
22%
47.0–47.9
44%
48.0–48.9
38%
49.0–49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
47%
51.0–51.9
47%
52.0–52.9
47%
53.0–53.9
46%
54.0–54.9
47%
55.0+
94%
55.0+ 94%
50.0–50.9 47%
52.0–52.9 47%
48.0–48.9 38%
BARU
BARU
Jun 1, 2026
<47.0
$263 Vol.
22%
47.0–47.9
$89 Vol.
44%
48.0–48.9
$89 Vol.
38%
49.0–49.9
$89 Vol.
47%
50.0–50.9
$89 Vol.
47%
51.0–51.9
$89 Vol.
47%
52.0–52.9
$89 Vol.
47%
53.0–53.9
$147 Vol.
46%
54.0–54.9
$89 Vol.
47%
55.0+
$89 Vol.
94%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the S&P Global flash services PMI easing to 50.9 in May from 51.0 in April, has created a balanced distribution of trader probabilities across the 49–53 range for the ISM Services PMI reading. April’s official ISM print of 53.6 reflected a modest pullback from March’s 54.0, driven by a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders to 53.5 and persistent contraction in employment, even as business activity held at 55.9 amid elevated input prices at 70.7—the highest since late 2022—linked to Middle East conflict and tariffs. These mixed signals, including softening demand and cost pressures that could weigh on margins, underpin the tight contest between sub-50 and mid-50 outcomes, with the May 3 release serving as the immediate catalyst.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volume
$1,124Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the S&P Global flash services PMI easing to 50.9 in May from 51.0 in April, has created a balanced distribution of trader probabilities across the 49–53 range for the ISM Services PMI reading. April’s official ISM print of 53.6 reflected a modest pullback from March’s 54.0, driven by a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders to 53.5 and persistent contraction in employment, even as business activity held at 55.9 amid elevated input prices at 70.7—the highest since late 2022—linked to Middle East conflict and tariffs. These mixed signals, including softening demand and cost pressures that could weigh on margins, underpin the tight contest between sub-50 and mid-50 outcomes, with the May 3 release serving as the immediate catalyst.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$1,124Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the S&P Global flash services PMI easing to 50.9 in May from 51.0 in April, has created a balanced distribution of trader probabilities across the 49–53 range for the ISM Services PMI reading. April’s official ISM print of 53.6 reflected a modest pullback from March’s 54.0, driven by a sharp 7.1-point drop in new orders to 53.5 and persistent contraction in employment, even as business activity held at 55.9 amid elevated input prices at 70.7—the highest since late 2022—linked to Middle East conflict and tariffs. These mixed signals, including softening demand and cost pressures that could weigh on margins, underpin the tight contest between sub-50 and mid-50 outcomes, with the May 3 release serving as the immediate catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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