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Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

icon for Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$863,537 Vol.

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$863,537 Vol.

An interstellar object named "A11pl3Z" is projected to travel deep within the solar system, reaching its closest point to the Sun on October 29. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/science/interstellar-object-a11pi3z.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that the interstellar object named A11pl3Z either contains or is extraterrestrial life or technology by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Members of the Cabinet of the United States are limited to include the heads of the 15 government agencies as of the creation of this market, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the Director of National Intelligence, the Chief of Staff, OMB Director, CIA Director, US Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, SBA Administrator, and OSTP Director. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

An interstellar object named "A11pl3Z" is projected to travel deep within the solar system, reaching its closest point to the Sun on October 29. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/science/interstellar-object-a11pi3z.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that the interstellar object named A11pl3Z either contains or is extraterrestrial life or technology by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Members of the Cabinet of the United States are limited to include the heads of the 15 government agencies as of the creation of this market, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the Director of National Intelligence, the Chief of Staff, OMB Director, CIA Director, US Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, SBA Administrator, and OSTP Director.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$863,537
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 4, 2025, 9:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
An interstellar object named "A11pl3Z" is projected to travel deep within the solar system, reaching its closest point to the Sun on October 29. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/science/interstellar-object-a11pi3z.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that the interstellar object named A11pl3Z either contains or is extraterrestrial life or technology by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Members of the Cabinet of the United States are limited to include the heads of the 15 government agencies as of the creation of this market, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the Director of National Intelligence, the Chief of Staff, OMB Director, CIA Director, US Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, SBA Administrator, and OSTP Director. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

An interstellar object named "A11pl3Z" is projected to travel deep within the solar system, reaching its closest point to the Sun on October 29. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/science/interstellar-object-a11pi3z.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that the interstellar object named A11pl3Z either contains or is extraterrestrial life or technology by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Members of the Cabinet of the United States are limited to include the heads of the 15 government agencies as of the creation of this market, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the Director of National Intelligence, the Chief of Staff, OMB Director, CIA Director, US Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, SBA Administrator, and OSTP Director. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

An interstellar object named "A11pl3Z" is projected to travel deep within the solar system, reaching its closest point to the Sun on October 29. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/science/interstellar-object-a11pi3z.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that the interstellar object named A11pl3Z either contains or is extraterrestrial life or technology by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Members of the Cabinet of the United States are limited to include the heads of the 15 government agencies as of the creation of this market, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the Director of National Intelligence, the Chief of Staff, OMB Director, CIA Director, US Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, SBA Administrator, and OSTP Director.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$863,537
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 4, 2025, 9:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
An interstellar object named "A11pl3Z" is projected to travel deep within the solar system, reaching its closest point to the Sun on October 29. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/science/interstellar-object-a11pi3z.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that the interstellar object named A11pl3Z either contains or is extraterrestrial life or technology by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Members of the Cabinet of the United States are limited to include the heads of the 15 government agencies as of the creation of this market, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the Director of National Intelligence, the Chief of Staff, OMB Director, CIA Director, US Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, SBA Administrator, and OSTP Director. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Interstellar object confirmed aliens?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 0¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Interstellar object confirmed aliens?" telah menghasilkan $863.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 4, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Interstellar object confirmed aliens?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Interstellar object confirmed aliens?" adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Interstellar object confirmed aliens?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.