The Illinois 8th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary that concluded March 17, 2026, with former U.S. Representative Melissa Bean securing the nomination over several challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though shifts could occur from unusually high midterm turnout favoring Republicans or late developments altering the campaign environment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,235 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$3,977 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary that concluded March 17, 2026, with former U.S. Representative Melissa Bean securing the nomination over several challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though shifts could occur from unusually high midterm turnout favoring Republicans or late developments altering the campaign environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$7,211Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary that concluded March 17, 2026, with former U.S. Representative Melissa Bean securing the nomination over several challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though shifts could occur from unusually high midterm turnout favoring Republicans or late developments altering the campaign environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,211Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary that concluded March 17, 2026, with former U.S. Representative Melissa Bean securing the nomination over several challengers. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though shifts could occur from unusually high midterm turnout favoring Republicans or late developments altering the campaign environment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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