Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
Politik·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

icon for Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
Politik·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

7% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
7% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, now 83, has recorded no confirmed public appearances since December 2022, when he attended Jiang Zemin’s funeral. State media and observers have attributed his prolonged absence to health issues, and he missed major 2025–2026 events including the September 2025 Victory Day parade and the August 2026 commemoration of Jiang’s birth centenary, where other retired elders such as Wen Jiabao were present. Mid-August 2026 reporting described a sharp deterioration in his condition, prompting renewed speculation and unverified death rumors that official channels neither confirmed nor directly addressed. With only months remaining until the December 31 resolution date and no scheduled events or statements indicating an imminent appearance, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the outcome not occurring.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$5,496
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, now 83, has recorded no confirmed public appearances since December 2022, when he attended Jiang Zemin’s funeral. State media and observers have attributed his prolonged absence to health issues, and he missed major 2025–2026 events including the September 2025 Victory Day parade and the August 2026 commemoration of Jiang’s birth centenary, where other retired elders such as Wen Jiabao were present. Mid-August 2026 reporting described a sharp deterioration in his condition, prompting renewed speculation and unverified death rumors that official channels neither confirmed nor directly addressed. With only months remaining until the December 31 resolution date and no scheduled events or statements indicating an imminent appearance, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the outcome not occurring.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$5,496
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

9%
icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

8%
icon for Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 7% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 7¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 7% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 13, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?" adalah 7% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 7% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.