Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, actively leading trade negotiations, tariff implementation, and international engagements such as recent meetings with Indian officials and G20 discussions as of mid-October 2026. No public statements, leaks, or procedural signals from the White House or Senate indicate plans for removal or resignation before the October 31 deadline, and Lutnick continues high-profile duties including congressional testimony. The two-week window further limits realistic pathways for departure absent an unforeseen event. Trader consensus at 95.2% for "No" reflects this stability, though abrupt developments such as a major scandal, health-related incapacity, or direct presidential decision could still alter the outcome before month-end.