Recent transition from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham as prime minister in July 2026 after Labour's local election setbacks and internal revolt has anchored trader expectations around exactly two leaders by end-2027. With the next general election not due until 2029, markets price low odds of further rapid turnover absent major new crises for Burnham, who faces persistent economic headwinds and polling volatility but benefits from a fresh mandate within the governing party. The slim probability for three or more reflects residual uncertainty over government stability and potential by-election or cabinet pressures, while four-plus remains a distant tail risk given historical patterns of UK leadership durations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
2 86%
3 15%
4+ 1.2%
$115,422 Vol.
$115,422 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
2
86%
3
15%
4+
1%
2 86%
3 15%
4+ 1.2%
$115,422 Vol.
$115,422 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
2
$65,420 Vol.
86%
3
$34,371 Vol.
15%
4+
$11,068 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent transition from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham as prime minister in July 2026 after Labour's local election setbacks and internal revolt has anchored trader expectations around exactly two leaders by end-2027. With the next general election not due until 2029, markets price low odds of further rapid turnover absent major new crises for Burnham, who faces persistent economic headwinds and polling volatility but benefits from a fresh mandate within the governing party. The slim probability for three or more reflects residual uncertainty over government stability and potential by-election or cabinet pressures, while four-plus remains a distant tail risk given historical patterns of UK leadership durations.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$115,422Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent transition from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham as prime minister in July 2026 after Labour's local election setbacks and internal revolt has anchored trader expectations around exactly two leaders by end-2027. With the next general election not due until 2029, markets price low odds of further rapid turnover absent major new crises for Burnham, who faces persistent economic headwinds and polling volatility but benefits from a fresh mandate within the governing party. The slim probability for three or more reflects residual uncertainty over government stability and potential by-election or cabinet pressures, while four-plus remains a distant tail risk given historical patterns of UK leadership durations.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,422Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent transition from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham as prime minister in July 2026 after Labour's local election setbacks and internal revolt has anchored trader expectations around exactly two leaders by end-2027. With the next general election not due until 2029, markets price low odds of further rapid turnover absent major new crises for Burnham, who faces persistent economic headwinds and polling volatility but benefits from a fresh mandate within the governing party. The slim probability for three or more reflects residual uncertainty over government stability and potential by-election or cabinet pressures, while four-plus remains a distant tail risk given historical patterns of UK leadership durations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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