Virginia’s 11 congressional districts remain under the existing map after voters narrowly approved but the state Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment in 2026. Democrats currently hold six seats and target two Republican-held districts in November: the competitive VA-2 rematch between incumbent Jen Kiggans and Elaine Luria, and VA-1 where Rob Wittman faces Shannon Taylor. Primaries concluded in August with both parties advancing nominees in these battlegrounds, while the remaining seats appear safe for their incumbents. Trader pricing clusters tightly around seven, eight, or nine Democratic wins because the outcome hinges on turnout and national midterm dynamics in those two contests, with historical patterns and recent forecasts showing modest Democratic gains possible but not assured absent stronger momentum. Late developments in campaign spending, candidate events, or broader voter sentiment could shift the final tally in either direction.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui8 32%
7 28%
9+ 24%
6 9%
BARU
BARU
Nov 2, 2026
<5
<1%
5
<1%
6
9%
7
28%
8
32%
9+
26%
8 32%
7 28%
9+ 24%
6 9%
BARU
BARU
Nov 2, 2026
<5
$293 Vol.
<1%
5
$320 Vol.
<1%
6
$1,604 Vol.
9%
7
$1,148 Vol.
28%
8
$868 Vol.
32%
9+
$1,036 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s 11 congressional districts remain under the existing map after voters narrowly approved but the state Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment in 2026. Democrats currently hold six seats and target two Republican-held districts in November: the competitive VA-2 rematch between incumbent Jen Kiggans and Elaine Luria, and VA-1 where Rob Wittman faces Shannon Taylor. Primaries concluded in August with both parties advancing nominees in these battlegrounds, while the remaining seats appear safe for their incumbents. Trader pricing clusters tightly around seven, eight, or nine Democratic wins because the outcome hinges on turnout and national midterm dynamics in those two contests, with historical patterns and recent forecasts showing modest Democratic gains possible but not assured absent stronger momentum. Late developments in campaign spending, candidate events, or broader voter sentiment could shift the final tally in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Volume
$5,269Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s 11 congressional districts remain under the existing map after voters narrowly approved but the state Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment in 2026. Democrats currently hold six seats and target two Republican-held districts in November: the competitive VA-2 rematch between incumbent Jen Kiggans and Elaine Luria, and VA-1 where Rob Wittman faces Shannon Taylor. Primaries concluded in August with both parties advancing nominees in these battlegrounds, while the remaining seats appear safe for their incumbents. Trader pricing clusters tightly around seven, eight, or nine Democratic wins because the outcome hinges on turnout and national midterm dynamics in those two contests, with historical patterns and recent forecasts showing modest Democratic gains possible but not assured absent stronger momentum. Late developments in campaign spending, candidate events, or broader voter sentiment could shift the final tally in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,269Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Virginia’s 11 congressional districts remain under the existing map after voters narrowly approved but the state Supreme Court struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment in 2026. Democrats currently hold six seats and target two Republican-held districts in November: the competitive VA-2 rematch between incumbent Jen Kiggans and Elaine Luria, and VA-1 where Rob Wittman faces Shannon Taylor. Primaries concluded in August with both parties advancing nominees in these battlegrounds, while the remaining seats appear safe for their incumbents. Trader pricing clusters tightly around seven, eight, or nine Democratic wins because the outcome hinges on turnout and national midterm dynamics in those two contests, with historical patterns and recent forecasts showing modest Democratic gains possible but not assured absent stronger momentum. Late developments in campaign spending, candidate events, or broader voter sentiment could shift the final tally in either direction.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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