Mid-decade redistricting by Florida Republicans has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including FL-9, FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25, shifting them toward stronger Republican performance based on 2024 presidential results and placing incumbents such as Darren Soto, Kathy Castor, and Jared Moskowitz on more competitive terrain. Post-primary developments show these seats rated as toss-ups or lean-Republican by analysts, while the broader national midterm climate features Democratic advantages in generic ballot measures and historical patterns. Trader consensus remains dispersed across outcomes from four to eleven-plus seats because outcomes hinge on whether Democrats defend targeted incumbencies, capitalize on any national tailwinds, or face further erosion from the new lines, with limited polling available this far from November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7 14%
5 13%
11 13%
4 12.4%
BARU
BARU
Nov 2, 2026
<4
1%
4
12%
5
13%
6
11%
7
14%
8
8%
9
8%
10
9%
11
13%
12+
12%
7 14%
5 13%
11 13%
4 12.4%
BARU
BARU
Nov 2, 2026
<4
$177 Vol.
1%
4
$1,301 Vol.
12%
5
$647 Vol.
13%
6
$380 Vol.
11%
7
$414 Vol.
14%
8
$332 Vol.
8%
9
$372 Vol.
8%
10
$590 Vol.
9%
11
$750 Vol.
13%
12+
$466 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting by Florida Republicans has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including FL-9, FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25, shifting them toward stronger Republican performance based on 2024 presidential results and placing incumbents such as Darren Soto, Kathy Castor, and Jared Moskowitz on more competitive terrain. Post-primary developments show these seats rated as toss-ups or lean-Republican by analysts, while the broader national midterm climate features Democratic advantages in generic ballot measures and historical patterns. Trader consensus remains dispersed across outcomes from four to eleven-plus seats because outcomes hinge on whether Democrats defend targeted incumbencies, capitalize on any national tailwinds, or face further erosion from the new lines, with limited polling available this far from November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$5,429Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting by Florida Republicans has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including FL-9, FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25, shifting them toward stronger Republican performance based on 2024 presidential results and placing incumbents such as Darren Soto, Kathy Castor, and Jared Moskowitz on more competitive terrain. Post-primary developments show these seats rated as toss-ups or lean-Republican by analysts, while the broader national midterm climate features Democratic advantages in generic ballot measures and historical patterns. Trader consensus remains dispersed across outcomes from four to eleven-plus seats because outcomes hinge on whether Democrats defend targeted incumbencies, capitalize on any national tailwinds, or face further erosion from the new lines, with limited polling available this far from November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,429Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mid-decade redistricting by Florida Republicans has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including FL-9, FL-14, FL-22, and FL-25, shifting them toward stronger Republican performance based on 2024 presidential results and placing incumbents such as Darren Soto, Kathy Castor, and Jared Moskowitz on more competitive terrain. Post-primary developments show these seats rated as toss-ups or lean-Republican by analysts, while the broader national midterm climate features Democratic advantages in generic ballot measures and historical patterns. Trader consensus remains dispersed across outcomes from four to eleven-plus seats because outcomes hinge on whether Democrats defend targeted incumbencies, capitalize on any national tailwinds, or face further erosion from the new lines, with limited polling available this far from November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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