Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.8%
4+ 22%
3 22%
0 19%
BARU
BARU
Dec 9, 2026
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 23.8%
4+ 22%
3 22%
0 19%
BARU
BARU
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,778 Vol.
19%
1
$484 Vol.
17%
2
$298 Vol.
24%
3
$325 Vol.
22%
4+
$344 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$8,229Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,229Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing August CPI at +3.4% year-over-year and core at +2.4%, combined with the Fed's unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75%-4.00% range and hawkish dot-plot shift toward another potential increase this year, have created substantial uncertainty around the December FOMC outcome. Market-implied probabilities for the number of dissents remain tightly clustered because participants hold divergent assessments of inflation persistence versus labor-market softening, with some officials favoring further tightening and others preferring a pause. Key swing factors include upcoming releases such as the October CPI on the 14th, energy-price trends, and any rotation in voting members, all of which could either consolidate consensus or widen divisions as seen in multiple 2025 meetings with three or more dissents. Trader sentiment thus prices in a wide range of possible outcomes rather than any single dominant scenario.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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