USGS seismic records confirm a single magnitude 6.5 earthquake occurred on September 17 in the Aleutian region west of Nikolski, Alaska, at 98 km depth, meeting the exact resolution threshold while no other events worldwide reached 6.5 or higher through September 20. Global monitoring shows typical background rates of roughly one to two such quakes per week, and the absence of additional activity in active zones like the Pacific Ring of Fire aligned with model expectations and recent quiet periods. Trader consensus at 100% on outcome 1 reflects this verified count from authoritative catalogs. A late unreported aftershock or revised magnitude from ongoing analysis could theoretically alter the tally, though preliminary data make such shifts unlikely.
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